Who Will Be Kim Jong-un’s Successor?

North Korea is once again at the centre of global intrigue as a tense, high-stakes family power struggle unfolds at the very top of its leadership. The country’s future leadership appears to be shaping up around a dramatic choice between youth and experience, with international observers watching closely.

South Korea’s National Intelligence Service (NIS) reports that Kim Jong-un’s 13-year-old daughter, Kim Ju-ae, is on the verge of being designated as North Korea’s next successor. This development, if formalised, could potentially spark a confrontation with Kim’s influential sister, Kim Yo-jong, who currently holds the position of the nation’s second most powerful figure.

The official announcement of Kim Ju-ae as successor is expected at a major political conference scheduled later this month. Such a move would represent a significant shift within North Korea’s traditionally conservative and male-dominated political landscape, potentially signalling a generational transition in leadership.

Kim Ju-ae first appeared publicly during a missile test in November 2022. Since then, she has frequently accompanied her father on military inspections, industrial site visits, and even foreign engagements. While South Korean intelligence agencies initially regarded her appearances as ceremonial, her recent participation in high-level meetings, including a visit with Chinese leadership, has prompted analysts to reassess her role. There is growing evidence that Kim Jong-un is deliberately grooming his young daughter for leadership.

However, her path to power is far from guaranteed. Kim Yo-jong, aged 38, is widely recognised as a formidable political operator with significant influence over both domestic affairs and military matters. Experts suggest that in the event of an unexpected illness or death of Kim Jong-un, Kim Yo-jong is far more likely than her young niece to assume effective control, given her political and military experience. Her aggressive rhetoric and international profile reinforce her position as a dominant figure unwilling to yield to a minor.

The internal stakes are high. Analysts warn that North Korea could be approaching a period of intense internal power struggle, echoing past instances of lethal family politics. When Kim Jong-un assumed power, he oversaw the execution of his uncle, Jang Song-thaek, and the mysterious assassination of his half-brother, Kim Jong-nam, in Malaysia.

North Korea currently possesses an estimated 50–90 nuclear warheads and a substantial missile arsenal, making the question of succession not only a domestic concern but also a matter of global security. The choice between Kim Ju-ae and Kim Yo-jong has implications that extend far beyond Pyongyang, with the potential to reshape regional geopolitics.

Potential Successors to North Korea’s Leadership

NameAgeCurrent Position & InfluenceKey Notes
Kim Ju-ae13Daughter of Kim Jong-un, present at military & state eventsGroomed as potential successor
Kim Yo-jong38Second most powerful in the state, influential in politics & militaryStrong contender, internationally recognised for aggressive policies
Kim Jong-un42Supreme Leader, controls nuclear & military apparatusCurrent leader, central to succession planning

The unfolding succession drama in Pyongyang highlights the perilous intersection of family politics, military authority, and nuclear capability, raising uncertainty not only for North Korea but for the wider international community.

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